Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 7.490931 8.580354 9.789373 11.233447 12.915067 14.815906 17.133551
2025-02-23 5.944768 7.322350 8.977549 11.123094 13.845584 17.204574 21.692993
2025-03-02 5.011750 6.504271 8.403714 11.018195 14.554330 19.214590 25.893703
2025-03-09 4.332538 5.862598 7.901861 10.848932 15.048929 20.894778 29.779804
2025-03-16 3.789195 5.311008 7.420105 10.597468 15.334084 22.246837 33.308628
2025-03-23 3.559332 5.155923 7.451421 11.048439 16.645866 25.195865 39.578907
2025-03-30 3.285889 4.899574 7.295971 11.184608 17.472516 27.479560 45.095726
2025-04-06 3.007443 4.601815 7.039208 11.120949 17.954900 29.246342 49.972254
2025-04-13 2.755645 4.317310 6.769007 10.995644 18.304220 30.809413 54.682925
2025-04-20 2.630848 4.220489 6.783638 11.333913 19.464207 33.881190 62.540276
2025-04-27 2.501631 4.102404 6.748516 11.576874 20.474373 36.794642 70.513386
2025-05-04 2.418329 4.052174 6.819780 12.008674 21.867965 40.573625 80.749596
2025-05-11 2.217495 3.785058 6.496860 11.701831 21.858518 41.705662 85.813445
2025-05-18 2.068390 3.596122 6.295037 11.598377 22.227804 43.627613 92.865875
2025-05-25 1.933723 3.421252 6.102128 11.489607 22.568780 45.525239 100.155511
2025-06-01 1.803122 3.242777 5.886394 11.312469 22.745467 47.091591 106.925269
2025-06-08 1.674079 3.056781 5.640439 11.049194 22.708431 48.184121 112.734214
2025-06-15 1.644122 3.056223 5.749589 11.521381 24.304973 53.110286 128.824356
2025-06-22 1.578262 2.980539 5.704315 11.663974 25.187250 56.513186 141.628808
2025-06-29 1.495199 2.864385 5.568192 11.597312 25.584519 58.817998 151.925313
2025-07-06 1.412213 2.742170 5.409820 11.466098 25.815406 60.745944 161.529682
2025-07-13 1.381746 2.724560 5.466381 11.820331 27.243776 65.854592 181.127492
2025-07-20 1.343468 2.687717 5.478993 12.074789 28.458242 70.584050 200.549891